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EXCLUSIVE: Hoeffel will poll the gubernatorial race

EXCLUSIVE: Hoeffel will poll the gubernatorial race

In the strongest indication yet that he is considering a run for governor, Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel is commissioning a poll to gauge his political standing compared to the other candidates.

In a brief interview with pa2010.com Thursday, Hoeffel acknowledged that he was in the process of raising money to pay for the poll, but declined to go into any specifics. He would not say if the survey will examine only the Democratic primary field, or if it would also look at potential general election matchups.

“I am going to take a poll and that will be part of my decision-making process,” Hoeffel said.

In acknowledging his interest in the race last month, Hoeffel voiced concern at the lack of liberal candidates running for the party’s nomination.

“I believe there’s got to be southeastern Pennsylvania progressives in these state races in 2010,” he said at the time. “I think it’s really important for the future of the party. I think that’s what will lead to victories for the party statewide. I want to make sure there are good candidates running, people that I can support. If I think I’ve got something different to offer, I’d think about that.”

He emphasized last month that “I’m not raising money. I’m not taking any aggressive steps.”

That has clearly changed at least somewhat. How much weight the results of the poll will carry in Hoeffel’s decision remains to be seen.

Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato, state Auditor General Jack Wagner and Philadelphia businessman Tom Knox are all running for the Democratic nomination. Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty is increasingly rumored to be leaning toward the race, too.

•Also on pa2010.com: Hoeffel considering gubernatorial bid

August 20, 2009 at 1:27 pm

--Dan Hirschhorn

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  1. [...] Hoeffel will poll Gov race before deciding if he will jump in… [...]

  2. Jon Geeting

    Aug 20th, 2009

    I’m pleased, but skeptical. Onorato seems to be the candidate with the most momentum and at least progressives can comfort themselves that he has a decent technocratic economic record even if his positions on social issues give them heartburn. That said, if Hoeffel gets in and rallies progressives, that could help pull Onorato to the left even if Hoeffel can’t win.

  3. obamarox

    Aug 20th, 2009

    Poll? If you have something to contribute, just get in the race. I detest these poll driven politicians.

  4. Burgher

    Aug 20th, 2009

    “Poll driven”? I agree with your sentiment, but let’s put this in perspective – this guy ran against Specter. The polling in that one was always clear that he had no chance, but he brought to the table what he had to contribute. Bottom line is if you’re going to put yourself through statewide race trauma, at least do it with a shot toward wiining if not at least moving the agenda forward.

  5. Seriously?

    Aug 20th, 2009

    Dan,

    In what kind of bizarro universe is “potential candidate to do poll” newsworthy — let alone warrants EXCLUSIVE chest-thumping?

    I realize this is a blog and the newsworthiness threshold is lowered significantly. But really, it must be a slow slow news day.

    Joe Hoeffel doesn’t need a poll to tell him he’s unelectable. He has the still-gaping wounds and the embarassing book of 2004 press clippings to remind him.

  6. David Diano

    Aug 20th, 2009

    Seriously-
    If someone is willing to spend money to conduct a poll, it does indicate a level of “seriousness” to enter the race. The poll may also contain questions to determine hot-button issues. A candidate should know what issues are concerning voters.

    That said, I doubt any poll would show him electable.

    He seems better off as a medium fish in a small pond. Statewide pond looks a little too big.

  7. obamarox

    Aug 21st, 2009

    Pollsters destroy democracy by distorting the dialogue. Look at Luntz, Caddell and the Clinton years with people like Dick Morris and Doug Schoen and his buddy Penn. They all played the politicians for their real paymasters the corporations. Any public servant should swear off pollsters and speak their truth as they see it. Any good politician knows from listening to a cross-section of people whether their ideas make sense and have appeal. The pols should talk to the people directly and listen to the people directly and not pay some corporate shill to do it for them.

  8. nick

    Aug 21st, 2009

    Joe HOeffel has ZERO shot. PA is ready for an R Governor now. Gov. Fat-Bastard Rendell has made enough of a mess in the state. Go ahead Joe…..run. hehehehehehe.

  9. flynnbw

    Aug 21st, 2009

    Commissioner Hoeffel would be a great Lt.Gov. candidate – fairly high name-rec in SE PA, experience in various levels of gov’t, ability to appeal to the base, etc. As a gubernatorial candidate, on the other hand, he would be a disaster.

  10. flynnbw

    Aug 21st, 2009

    Commissioner Hoeffel would be a great Lt.Gov. candidate – fairly high name-rec in SE PA, experience in various levels of gov’t, ability to appeal to the base, etc. As a gubernatorial candidate, on the other hand, I don’t see him having a ton of success.

  11. RBA

    Aug 23rd, 2009

    Joe Hoeffel would be banished to the dustbin of political history were it not for the traitor Jim Matthews in Montgomery County who turned a has been loser into the most power Democrat in SE Pennsylvania. An unimanginable betrayal of those who got him elected. I hope the GOP and the voters of Montgomery County tar and feather him and run him back to Philly with his loudmouth brother on a rail

  12. flynnbw

    Aug 25th, 2009

    Ok, “disaster” is a bit of a strong word. I revise and extend my remarks.

  13. [...] fueled by a concern that the party may be tacking right, made his decision after commissioning a poll on the race that his campaign said yielded encouraging results. While no formal announcement has [...]

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