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Corbett would top Onorato or Wagner in general election, poll says
If next year’s gubernatorial election ends up as a Pittsburgh scuffle, Republican state Attorney General Tom Corbett is well-positioned to beat either of his potential Democratic opponents from the area.
In a Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday, Corbett leads Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato 47 percent to 27 percent. He leads state Auditor General Jack Wagner 44 percent to 29 percent. In both races, about a quarter of voters remain undecided. The results could be slightly skewed since an almost equal number of Democrats and Republicans were surveyed, even though Democrats outnumber Republicans by about 1.2 million voters in Pennsylvania.
Corbett would split his Pittsburgh-area home base with either Onorato or Wagner, but would fare better in the vote-rich southeast, where he benefits from the name recognition of two statewide elections, according to the poll.
The survey of 1,100 Pennsylvania voters was conducted Sept. 21-28, with a margin of error of 3.5 percent for general election results.
Click here to see the full poll.
September 30, 2009 at 9:15 am
Tags: Dan Onorato, Jack Wagner, Tom Corbett
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Jon Geeting
Sep 30th, 2009
Where do they get off equalizing their Dem/Rep sampling? 1.2 million voters is a big difference. PA is increasingly not the swing state it used to be.
GOPHAWK
Sep 30th, 2009
I agree with Jon. That is not a slight skew. It is a huge skew. They are setting us up. Corbett is a proven vote getter in the real world but the only region where he pulled more votes than Wagner last year was Central Pa.
Even though there is a set-up to trap the GOP, there is a heartening trend of some importance.
I do believe that our prosecutor looks good because Rendell is just imploding the D brand. Take a look at the Gov’s numbers outside the Philly market. They are awful – God awful. It is not so much that GOP is a great brand to carry around, it is that Ed is making Ds pariahs. His own cult of personality masks some of the damage in the SE but just look at how well our prosecutor does when he faces a generic D in that region. Ed has killed the brand there, too.
Ed was teflon for a long time. Now, he is making all the wrong moves and that is tanking his party.
Q poll: Corbett, Onorato in lead - Early Returns - post-gazette.com
Sep 30th, 2009
[...] Dan Hirshhorn at Pa2010 looks Pittsburgh matchups and mentions that the numbers are slightly skewed in favor of Republicans: [...]
Dan Hirschhorn
Sep 30th, 2009
FYI, me and GOPHAWK had a brief dialogue about this issue over at the earlier post on this poll.
Check it out:
http://www.pa2010.com/2009/09/corbett-leads-gerlach-big-in-poll-name-recognition-key/
And let’s keep the conversation going.
Thanks everyone.
Dan Hirschhorn
steelersfan
Sep 30th, 2009
You guys can argue about the skew, I want to point out that Jack Wagner is the stronger candidate against Corbett in every region of the state including Allegheny, the West, Central Pa., Phila. and the SE.
On the skew front, by the way, what’s up with union households? They are heavily tilted GOP in this poll. Does not make much sense since the unions are so anti-GOP and have voted that way in every recent election cycle.
Dan
Oct 7th, 2009
Auditor Jack Wagner wanted Governor Spendell in Federal prison but Corbett refused to file the charges. If Corbett wins then I know for sure Americans are stupid. How come not one of these men running for governor ever mentioned anything about how to stop the abuse in these Pennsylvania Concentration Camps they call prison? Google 2007 Smithfield suicides and abuse in Pennsylvania Prisons.