The Washington Post

pa2010.com is proud to partner with The Washington Post in bringing our originally reported insider political news to a wide audience of decision makers and opinion leaders across the country.

Close it
advertisement
Ten

Poll shows Corbett leading guv race, but Wagner close

Poll shows Corbett leading guv race, but Wagner close

State Attorney General Tom Corbett would top any of his potential Democratic rivals in a general election for governor next year, but state Auditor General Jack Wagner is running just a hair behind him, according to a new poll.

The poll, conducted by Dane & Associates on behalf of the Web site GrassrootsPA, surveyed just over 200 people. The unusually small sample size, coupled with the lack of specifics released, make the poll difficult to evaluate.

In a general election matchup, Corbett would net 41 percent of the vote, compared to 37 percent for Wagner, a lead within the margin of error. Twenty-two percent were undecided, according to the poll.

Corbett would top Philadelphia businessman Tom Knox 44 percent to 36 percent. He would edge Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato 44 percent to 32 percent, according to the poll. And he would beat Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel 53 percent to 27 percent. A matchup with Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty was not included.

Click here to view the poll memo.

October 9, 2009 at 12:00 pm

--Dan Hirschhorn

Tags: , , , ,

comments

comments [6] | post a comment

  1. Chris

    Oct 9th, 2009

    Thanks for covering the poll, Dan. You really do an excellent job with this site.

    Folks, if any of you are interested we just released a PA Supreme Court head-to-head with 866 voters sampled:

    http://grassrootspa.com/2009/10/09/new-grassrootspa-da-poll-panella-38-orie-melvin-35/

  2. [...] poll released at the close of the week, Republican state Attorney General Tom Corbett has a narrow lead over Democratic state auditor Jack Wagner in next year’s open seat race for Governor of [...]

  3. Shannon

    Oct 11th, 2009

    You published a poll with only 200 respondents statewide? That equates to a margin of error of 7%, not 4.25%. WOW!!! Way to test your credibility, everyone but Hoeffel is within the margin of error. So there are no doubter, the link below will calculate the Margin of Error.

    http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/moe.html

  4. Brian Kline

    Oct 12th, 2009

    The sample size is far too small for this poll to be taken seriously

  5. Veen

    Oct 12th, 2009

    So, they could have polled 200 old white dudes from Central PA and then put out these numbers, for all we know? Not saying this is what happened, but I am insinuating that with this kind of sample size and the disparities, it seems like there are obvious demographic and geographic biases here. Hoeffel trailing this much relative to this Democratic peers indicates a relative undersampling of SE PA and Philly metro. And Corbett only leading Wagner by 4 would suggest a bluish bias there.

    Just saying…give us details.

  6. Frank

    Oct 13th, 2009

    Veen, the last thing we need is a poll with white men in it. Ewww, white people! Gross! Apparently America really hasn’t left its racist past, but just changed the race that it hates. Thanks for showing off your disgusting bigotry Veen.

Leave a Reply


- will not be published

Current day month ye@r *