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Beth Hegedus's Blog

Beth Hegedus's Blog

 Suburban Snapshot

Third time’s the charm for Barletta

Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta is reportedly considering a third run for Congress.

He should do it.

Congressman Paul Kanjorski (D-11) beat him by only three points in the last election because of the coattails of the Obama turnout. Now, that Obama honeymoon is over and Republicans are on the rebound.

Job losses have continued since President Obama took office and the economy is in shambles. There have been campaign promises out there, but we want jobs, jobs, jobs.

What do the New Jersey and Virginia Republican victories have to do with Barletta returning for a third run against Kanjorski? Plenty.

One of the major things candidates and politicians know is name recognition and branding, and no offense to Chris Paige, who’s also seeking the nomination for the 11th Congressional District, the name Barletta is already out there.

Barletta is a man who speaks his mind and soul, not the party mantra. Despite the fact that there is previous campaign debt to retire, Barletta is still the best answer for the district.

There are plenty of politicians who don’t make it the first or second time out of the gate. And yes, it is disappointing when you lose.

Politicians feel like there will never be another tomorrow, but like the Frank Sinatra song goes, “Pick yourself up, dust off, start all over again.” And hopefully, for the constituents of the district, that’s exactly what Barletta will do. Overnight in politics is a lifetime, meaning people forget, and what was important last year is not important this year. And people love comebacks.

So if you see Lou, prod him to get in.

He’s one of us.

November 30, 2009 at 12:00 pm

--Beth Hegedus

comments

comments [3] | post a comment

  1. The Scranton Guardian

    Nov 30th, 2009

    Kanjorski secured almost $92 million in government funding for the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Airport in Luzerne County over the last 11 years. There is now a big federal grand jury investigation going on now over the airport and some other things.

    Kanjorski doesn’t seem to be caught up in the investigation, but spending seemed to be a little questionable and Kanjorski kept throwing money at the airport. This is another little used airport that John Murtha would be proud of with not to many flights.

    The airport has been so desperate for air carriers that a few years ago a pimp and prositute got pledges of government money to start an air service out of the airport.

    The airport funding with lack of oversight from Kanjorski could be his downfall in the upcoming election if indictments come down the pike.

  2. Chris Paige

    Nov 30th, 2009

    Name recognition? That’s Barletta’s comparative advantage – name recognition? When Barack Obama launched his campaign for the White House, who had better name recognition: Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton? Who won?

    Several years ago, I was a pollster. When we polled, Vice President Dick Cheney never broke 70% in name recognition, and we know that many voters who claimed to recognize VP Cheney’s name were lying. [Countless studies prove that 10 to 15% of voters will falsely claim to recognize an imaginary person.] Basically, politicians have far lower name recognition than they realize.

    Besides, name recognition is easily purchased and readily attained by campaigning, so it’s an ephemeral advantage at best.

    Third, what do voters really know about Lou Barletta? They know he lost twice; they know he’s pushed Hazleton to the brink of bankruptcy, and they know he led a racially-inflammatory campaign against Hispanics – a campaign that has devastated Hazleton’s economy and appears likely to cost its taxpayers millions in attorneys fees. By the end of this campaign, they will know that he’s raised taxes in Hazleton and that he’s used campaign funds to pay for personal debts.

    Here’s the reality. Let’s assume that Barletta can raise money at the same pace he raised money last year. (In reality, he can’t manage that pace because his largest donors are legally precluded from donating to his debt retirement efforts.) Even under that extremely generous assumption, he’s not likely to raise $250k until late January or early February (depending on how much you think he’ll need to spend to raise that much money). Then, he’ll have to raise money for the primary, but that means he simply won’t have enough time to raise much more than $200 – $300k. I don’t discuss fundraising targets, but I’ll match that easily, which means the primary will be no worse than evenly matched. Assuming he survives, he’ll enter the general with $0, which begs the question: if Barletta couldn’t defeat Kanjorski after spending $1.3 million, how can he expect to defeat him after spending far, far less?

    The simple, indisputable fact is that Cong. Kanjorski cannot win a positive, issues-based campaign; consequently, he will go negative. Why on earth would we send him a candidate with so many obvious vulnerabilities? Why would we send him a candidate who managed to lose a 10 point lead in the polls as a direct result of Cong. Kanjorski’s previous negative campaign? [And, by definition, Election Day turnout had nothing to do with Barletta's precipitious pre-election drop in the polls.] Why would we send him a badly underfinanced and obviously reluctant candidate?

    If nothing else, I can promise you this: Cong. Kanjorski is praying we renominate Barletta because a third, badly underfinanced Barletta campaign is Kanjorski’s best hope for re-election.

    Chris Paige
    Republican candidate in the 11th District

  3. Lee Levan

    Nov 30th, 2009

    With his extremist Lou Dobbs-ish anti-immigration stance having heavy racist overtones, he’s not one of any “us” to whom I belong.

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