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Burns up in dead-heat special election in the 12th

Burns up in dead-heat special election in the 12th

Republican Tim Burns holds a narrow, almost statistically insignificant lead over Democrat Mark Critz in the looming special election in the 12th Congressional District, according to a new poll.

The Public Policy Polling survey released Tuesday showed Burns topping Critz by three points, 44 percent to 41 percent, a lead just outside the margin of error. A month before voters pick a successor to the late John Murtha, Burns is faring well thanks to support from independent voters, who he wins by a 20-point margin, according to the poll. Burns is also attracting more votes from the other side of the aisle.

More than 40 percent of voters view each candidate favorably, with Burns enjoying slightly higher numbers. Only 33 percent of voters approve of President Obama, compared with 57 percent who disapprove. And in a finding that underscores why Critz has had to distance himself from the newly-enacted health care law, 59 percent of voters oppose the reform law. Combined with low approval ratings for Gov. Ed Rendell and Senator Arlen Specter, the poll reveals a political climate hostile to any Democratic candidate in the district, which narrowly backed John McCain for president in 2008.

“It’s going to be somewhat amazing if Mark Critz wins this race given the way voters in his district feel about Barack Obama,” said Dean Debnam, the president of Public Policy Polling. “His low ratings are something a long time incumbent like Murtha might have been able to weather, but you wouldn’t expect Democrats to win an open seat anywhere that gives Obama an approval rating under 40 percent. Still, it remains a toss up with a month to go before the election.”

The survey of 1,197 likely voters had a margin of error of 2.8 percent.

Click here to see the full poll.

April 20, 2010 at 12:30 pm

--Dan Hirschhorn

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comments [12] | post a comment

  1. Frank

    Apr 20th, 2010

    Wow, these numbers are horrible for Democrats! Obama has a 33% approval rating in the 12th! Specter at 28%. Rendell at 24%. 28% support Obamacare. And this is a district where Democrats have a 2-1 voter registration advantage! No wonder Critz put out an ad denying the charge of being a liberal, haha.

  2. Steve

    Apr 20th, 2010

    Russell is attacking Burns on Adultery!

    Could it be? Is Burns Pro-adultery too?

    Could it be? Is Burns Pro-adultery too? If these accusations are true, should Burns drop out of the race and enter the same Mississippi clinic as Tigers Woods? IF the claims in the numerous postings are true, certainly they can be no surprise to Chairman Gleason. Does anyone have more information on the claims in these postings?

  3. Steve

    Apr 20th, 2010

    This is what Russell is apparently talking about. The posts are on

    Tim Burns – Not-so-secret Mistress

    I’m surprised that no one has written about Tim’s numerous extramarital affairs. While working at TechRx, he was sleeping with his employees, while still married and a father of two. Yet, he’s positioning himself as a principled, moral leader. Tim’s trade show coordinator was his not-so-secret mistress. He took her with him when he travelled. Their affair was an open secret, basically everyone knew. This was hardly the only one. He was pretty brazen about them.

    This is going to come out sooner or later anyway. I just hate the idea of an adulterer representing conservatives.

    Former TechRx Employee

  4. Steve

    Apr 20th, 2010

    And there’s more!!

    The Next John Edwards

    Then you should ask more questions. It certainly isn’t slander. It’s quite true. Tim’s claims to being a successful businessman aren’t entirely true either. Joe Porfeli and Frank Amoruso actually ran and sold his business, after Joe bought it from Tim. Tim hung around for several years, but wasn’t the guy that created 400 jobs. That was actually Joe.

    Everybody who knew Tim at TechRx thinks he should have more sense than to run for public office. We were all shocked, mostly because none of this is really any secret. He’s basically the next John Edwards scandal in the making. My concern is that we elect Tim based on his conservative credentials, get him down to DC, and now we have another adultery scandal on our hands. That’s really not going to do much for the conservative agenda.

    I’m sure that your intentions are good, but I’d ask that since you have some real interest in politics to dig a little deeper and start asking more critical questions of Tim. This isn’t good for our agenda.

    Concerned TechRx Employee

  5. Steve

    Apr 20th, 2010

    I’m not sure if any of this stuff is true but the fact some former employee is identifying his mistress as his trade show coordinator certainly points a direct finger at someone.

    And now Bill Russell is calling him out on it.

    Could Burns become the GOP’s John Edwards?

  6. Fayette Voter

    Apr 20th, 2010

    Steve, why do you keep responding to yourself? Nobody cares about your lies. You have gossip, but zero evidence. I heard that YOU were cheating on YOUR wife.

  7. Steve

    Apr 20th, 2010

    I’m not the one saying this stuff. Some former employee of Burns apparently is. And Bill Russell is calling him out on it. Remember Russell?? He’s the guy no one is paying attention to and just might win the GOP Primary.

    Your post would have been better if you addressed the issue Russell is raising…instead of attacking me.

  8. Mr. Wiggles

    Apr 20th, 2010

    pssst… forget wives. Thats so Tiger. Since you mention cheating… I heard Critz was partially responsible for cheating on taxpayers at Parkins Inc.

  9. Right Wing Guy

    Apr 20th, 2010

    Hang it up “Steve” nobody believes the Russell campaign dirty tricks and lies.

  10. I'm not Lion

    Apr 20th, 2010

    Unfortunately people, Steve is right. Hate to say it but this aint no lie.

  11. WashingtonCountyPA

    Apr 21st, 2010

    Steve and everybody else,

    Bill Russell and the Russell campaign have nothing to do with this smear of Burns.

    Someone has created a website called “Bill Russell for Congress”

    Note the disclaimer:

    “Paid for by the Bill Russell for Congress website,,

    and not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committee.”

    It’s a bogus website apparently created to discredit Bill Russell by posting unfounded allegations about Burns.

    It’s a cheap trick and is probably being done by a Burns or Critz operative or supporter.

    Below is a link to the only official Bill Russell campaign website, there are no others.

  12. DaveTN

    Apr 27th, 2010

    I could give a rats ass if he did or did not have an affair. What I do care about is that he will stop Obama and Pelosi from their attempt to socialize this country. Just like the dems to spread rumors rather than face that their policies are ruining this country. We won’t get fooled or distracted by unfounded, irresponsible and decietful slander. We are cathching on this is how you campaign against a conservative since you obviously have no basis to debate the issues.
    You will be happy to note, I contributed today to BBurns, alot of my friends from the Tea Party are sstarting to do the same thing. Hurts doesn’t it. GGo burns, here comes the pain democrats.

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