Rasmussen: Sestak closing the gap against Specter
Congressman Joe Sestak is rapidly gaining on Senator Arlen Specter, according to a poll released Tuesday.
The Rasmussen survey of likely Democratic primary voters showed Sestak trailing Specter by a statistically insignificant two points, 44 percent to 42 percent. Ten percent of voters are still undecided, according to the poll.
At first glance, the survey appears to be something of a statistical outlier. Every recent survey has shown a much wider gap. A Rasmussen poll with a similar sample just one month ago found Sestak down 11 points, and little has transpired since then that would account for such a change. Neither candidate had aired TV ads when the poll was conducted. However, the telephone survey was taken on Monday, just as former Senator Rick Santorum’s accusation that he endorsed Specter in 2004 because Specter promised to back Bush administration judicial nominees was at its peak in the news cycle. It’s likely that had an effect, though it remains to be seen if any impact from the story will hold (Sestak has denied Santorum’s charge).
Sixty-five percent of likely primary voters view Specter either very favorably or somewhat favorably, while 32 percent of them view Specter very or somewhat unfavorably, according to the poll.
The survey of 435 likely primary voters had a margin of error of 5 percent.
April 13, 2010 at 5:39 pm