GOP poll memo claims double-digit lead for Kelly
A recent internal poll commissioned by Republicans found 3rd District GOP challenger Mike Kelly topping incumbent Congresswoman Kathy Dahlkemper (D-3) by 11 points, according to a memo by the pollsters.
The survey by Virginia-based firm The Tarrance Group found Kelly winning 48 percent of the vote in the northwest Pennsylvania district, compared to just 37 percent for Dahlkemper, according to the poll memo. The memo, from pollster Dave Sackett to Kelly’s campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee, paints Dahlkemper as a dangerously imperiled incumbent who is losing even a quarter of the Democratic vote.
The entire survey cross-tabs and questions were not available, making the poll impossible to independently assess. But if the poll memo is to be believed, Kelly’s paid media campaign during the competitive GOP primary has yielded significant name recognition, while Dahlkemper is suffering from an anti-Democratic environment that is particularly strong in the conservative leaning district.
The Tarrance Group’s survey of 305 likely voters, conducted July 20 to July 21, had a margin of error of 5.8 percent.
July 26, 2010 at 10:15 am