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Third-party poll finds Murphy up narrowly

Third-party poll finds Murphy up narrowly

Two groups say a poll they commissioned has found Congressman Patrick Murphy (D-8) holding a slight edge in his rematch against Republican Mike Fitzpatrick.

The survey commissioned by the Service Employees International Union’s and Vote Vets found Murphy winning 49 percent of the 8th District vote, just more than Fitzpatrick’s 46 percent. With just five percent of likely voters undecided, the results make the race essentially a dead heat. A three-point lead is better than Murphy has fared in any public or private polling that has been reported so far.

Neither a poll memo nor survey questions and crosstabs were available upon the release of the results late Monday, making it impossible to independently asses the merits of the poll. A Franklin & Marshall College survey released late last week found Fitzpatrick sporting a wide lead. An internal GOP poll has also found Fitzpatrick ahead, while an internal Murphy poll put the Democrat up slightly.

The Bucks County district, currently No. 4 on the pa2010.com Congressional Power Rankings, is increasingly seen as a battleground. The survey of 507 by the firm Harstad Strategic Research was conducted Sept. 20-22, about a week after Murphy’s heavy TV advertising buy started. A release describing the poll did not provide a margin of error.

September 28, 2010 at 6:00 am

--pa2010.com Staff

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  1. Bucks Vote

    Sep 28th, 2010

    Service Employees International Union’s and Vote Vets found Murphy winning.
    Lets see two left leaning groups pushing polls that says Murphy is up. Not surprised they will not release their polling data. These are simply fluff polls to try and keep Murphy relevant. If you drive through the county you will see about 3 – 4 Fitzpatrick signs for every Murphy sign. Tells you the energy and ground support is on the side of Fitzpatrick.
    It will be a tough election because the people in Bucks wants Murphy out, but all the Unions and left wing groups who want to keep their puppet Murphy in office is not going to give up trying to keep him in office.
    In the end I am holding out hope that the people beat out special interest and puts Fitzpatrick back in office.

  2. Change in 2010

    Sep 28th, 2010

    The SEIU sponsors a poll, finds Murphy in the lead, and refuses to release cross-tabs so the merits of the poll can be evaluated independently.

    Anyone else smell a rat?

  3. Ryan_in_DelCo

    Sep 28th, 2010

    Left wing freaks post poll with Murphy narrowly ahead. Hmm… lets shave off 5 to 10 points.

  4. SeaBee

    Sep 28th, 2010

    A poll sponsored by labor unions – Murphy’s core constituency – finds him narrowly up…What next?

    A poll sponsored by MoveOn.org? Perhaps a poll by a gay rights advocacy group pushing for repeal of DADT?

    This is patently absurd.

    The unions and their pernicious, self-absorbed agenda and gestapo-like tactics are truly destroying our country.

    Thank God Americans (of all origins, regardless of race, or ethnicity) have finally woken up. In November, we will boot this guy, and his bed-fellows out of Congress. None too soon!

  5. BucksCon

    Sep 28th, 2010

    Hmmm…. SEIU or F&M Poll? Which one seems less biased?…

  6. ConservativeWrites

    Sep 28th, 2010

    I heard the moveon.org poll had Murph up 90% – 5%. I’m waiting for the Code Pink, International ANSWER and ACORN (ooops… they no longer exist) polls to see how it all shakes out.

  7. [...] at worst shapes the news to provide the best spin for their favored Democrat candidates. So we get this. The survey commissioned by the Service Employees International Union’s and Vote Vets found [...]

  8. Robert B. Sklaroff, M.D.

    Sep 28th, 2010

    [This will be reprinted onto the site of the blogger-in-chief of this website, for obvious reasons.]

    How can a reasonable journalist append a title ["Third-party poll finds Murphy up narrowly"] that so clearly is FALSE?

    As is noted by everyone who is blogging on this topic, it is not possible to characterize the obvious D-adherents who released the outcome of this poll [notably, without its specifics] as a credible pair of “third-party” entities.

    It is counter-intuitive to force a reader to surmise that a so-called “third-party” is a truly INDEPENDENT entity under these circumstances, a conclusion that should be OBVIOUS to the most casual politico.

  9. Robert E. Boysen

    Sep 29th, 2010

    Dear PA2010.com:

    Since when are S.E.I.U. and Vote Vets credible in ANY news-worthy polls? I wouldn’t be surprised if these two “pollsters” took a vote sampling from only two people…Patrick Murphy and his wife! And since Murphy’s wife is a Republican, I wouldn’t be surprised if she’s voting for Mike Fitzpatrick, hence the “poll” numbers from these two upstanding groups!

    My advice for PA2010.com? Stick to the “real” numbers!

  10. Dot

    Sep 30th, 2010

    When a lefty does the job, the manipulation is comical! Very intereating company they picked. Harstad Strategic Research is a liberal progressive polling, marketing and consulting company with clients including many Dem governors, senators, representatives, unions, healthcare and education facilities. On their site they tout what they did for Obama – pretty much saying that they made him what he is today! They also list where they “independently helped elect” some governors and senators. They also list state referenda campaigns they’ve been involved with.

  11. Debbie Howell

    Sep 30th, 2010

    I find it embarrassing for the Courier that they would publish this poll without substantiation and statistics. Perhaps there was some political motivation?? They are well aware that all of the other reliable polls show Mike Fitzpatrick with a significant lead. Further evidence of the media bias that exists.

  12. Robert B. Sklaroff, M.D.

    Sep 30th, 2010

    My prior posting was validated today when it was announced that VoteVet is remitting a pro-Sestak “blast” snail-mailing.

    http://www.pa2010.com/2010/09/vets-group-spending-500k-on-lit-for-sestak/

    This is why a CORRECTION of this headline is past-due.

  13. Dr. Rick Lippin

    Oct 6th, 2010

    Since Fitpatrick has a Doc(Sklaroff) carrying water for him I’ll be a Doc carrying some for Pat Murphy.

    Keep driving home the outsourcing of jobs issue Pat. It is very real and very effective. And we need Democratic remedies soon.

    “Obamacare” was historic and we need to both protect and expand it if we wish to join the ranks of civilized nations and one which doesn’t wish to experience the meltdown of the entire US economy due to unregulated for profit health care inflation. Don’t be shamed into thinking that your vote was nothing short of historic.

    And the PA8th citizens needs to recognize your national level courage and leadership in spearheading the long overdue overturning of don’t ask-don’t tell (DADT)

    I be back on this blog soon

    Dr. Rick Lippin
    Southampton,Pa

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