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Months after defeat, Specter stumping for Sestak

Months after defeat, Specter stumping for Sestak

Almost five months after he was dispatched in the May primary, Senator Arlen Specter will be campaigning in earnest for the man who sent him packing.

Specter will be joining Senators Bob Casey and Chuck Schumer and a reception for Democratic Senate candidate Joe Sestak Monday in the Philadelphia. It will mark one of the only times since their bitter primary that Specter has stumped for Sestak—Specter brought him to a lunch of Senate Democrats shortly after the primary, but hasn’t done any public events.

He voiced his support for Sestak as he conceded on primary night.

The downtown event, first reported by The Philadelphia Jewish Voice, is expected to showcase Specter and his colleagues vouching for Sestak’s bona fides on Israel policy. Republican candidate Pat Toomey is hoping to make significant inroads among suburban Jewish voters, a constituency that long supported Specter.

October 7, 2010 at 10:00 am

--pa2010.com Staff

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  1. bill healy

    Oct 20th, 2010

    Pat Toomey has taken his best shot, he polled at 51% in one poll but hovered near 45%-47% all summer,he hasn’t shown any traction, the Admiral by 8 pts on Nov. 2

  2. Brent Wingard

    Oct 20th, 2010

    Wow, what a time for this site to have “gone cold”. Congrats to Dan, but things are just getting darn interesting, and we’re left to comment on a two-week old thread. Everybody grab your popcorn (or chips or pretzels) and sit back and watch a barnburner in the closing two weeks!

  3. David Diano

    Oct 21st, 2010

    Hey Bill-
    The NEWER Muhlenberg poll (next day) has it 43% to 43%

    http://www.mcall.com/media/acrobat/2010-10/56932398.pdf

    So it went Sestak +3 to even. Try not to get your panties in a bunch. (If Sestak moved from even to +3 in a poll you’d acting like it was the greatest poll in the history of mankind, so feel free to cry like a little girl for a move in the other direction.)

    Muhlenberg poll is VERY erratic. The sample size is only 420 people (so +/- 5%) and it’s taken over a 4-day period (sliding window). This particular sample has more Republicans than Democrats, but they may normalize for that.

    My point is: it’s going to jump around A LOT and it has a +/- 5 point swing, so it’s not worth getting wrapped up in each day’s poll.

    Onorato went from -7 to -11, so there’s a definite

  4. David Diano

    Oct 21st, 2010

    …definite GOP in this poll (results) from yesterday. That could easily be due to the sample. However, It shows that Sestak’s and Onorato’s fates are linked. So, they can either help each other or drag each other down.

  5. Jason

    Oct 21st, 2010

    The new Quinnipiac poll has the Senate race 48-46. There’s no doubt the race is tightening. It’s a tossup at this point that could go either way. With the race this tight, turnout will be critical.

  6. David Diano

    Oct 21st, 2010

    Jason-
    I think the key to the Quinnipiac poll is this:

    President Obama gets a negative 44 – 53 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 40 – 56 percent September 22.
    The previous Quinnipiac had the race at Toomey +7

    So the shift of Obama -16 to Obama -9 is most likely the reason for the change in Sestak’s numbers.
    Sestak and Toomey haven’t said anything new or surprising from a policy perspective. The election is still a referendum on Obama and Toomey and Sestak are pretty much cardboard props representing the two political philosophies.

  7. George

    Oct 21st, 2010

    The election is not a referendum on Obama. That’s what Toomey and the Republicans want you to believe because if they can spin it that way, then they’ll win.

    The election is about who is best representative of the people of Pennsylvania, Sestak or Toomey.

    I think the poster a few pages back hit the nail on the head about Toomey trying to privatize social security and strip senior citizens away from their Social Security that they’ve already fully banked. That’s a powerful ad, a game changer. That means more to senior citizens in Pennsylvania than a referendum on Obama does.

    The other reason is Sestak has always been a strong closer. Republicans were enthusiastic to vote back in the summer months so they were more willing to answer poll questions. Democrats are just coming around now, they’re now getting enthusiastic too. The races aren’t just tightening in Pennsylvania, they’re tightening in other states too (Nevada, Illinois, West Virginia, Washington, California, Colorado and so on). It’s because people on both sides are really starting to pay attention now. That is why the national races are all tightening.

  8. David Diano

    Oct 21st, 2010

    George-
    Sorry to burst your bubble, but it IS about Obama and supporting or opposing his policies. During the Primary, Sestak made the claim that if elected he would be Obama’s strongest ally in the Senate. While I don’t believe that statement for a minute, it’s clear that support for Obama was a key election issue Joe made part of his primary campaign.
    Similarly, Toomey (and the rest of the GOP) have tied Democratic candidates to Obama, Reid and Pelosi. Joe’s voting record with Pelosi in Joe’s second term was over 99% in sync with Pelosi. That certainly helped Joe in the Primary, but in the General election that connection with Pelosi is a campaign issue.

    The “tightening” in other state is not so much about the individual candidates as the perception of Obama (which is why you are seeing it in so many states). Obama is pointing out the stuff he’s done and that voters would lose under the GOP.
    The “enthusiasm” isn’t there for Dems. There was an article the other day that the Republicans are not only way ahead of the Dems on requesting absentee ballots, but they are also ahead on having turned them in. Those votes are locked in, so there’s no more “tightening” in that category.

    “Privatizing” Social Security is about getting the young workers to invest in the markets. The seniors who are already retired and the money already in the SS system isn’t going into the markets. The Republicans have to keep SS for the people at or near retirement. However, their plan is to dismantle it so that it will be gone in a generation or two, but nothing they do is going to affect existing seniors (unless they don’t give increases for inflation).

    Um… Dems not answering poll questions?? The polls call enough Dems until they can balance the sample with registration counts (or they adjust the weights).

  9. Brent Wingard

    Oct 21st, 2010

    Sestak has run some pretty effective ads in recent weeks that I think could account for some of the tightening. Using words out of Toomey’s own mouth about corporations paying no taxes at all and about outsourcing jobs to China, he is effectively trying to close the enthusiasm gap by saying, “Hey, Democrats, if you don’t go out and vote, here’s what the future may hold.” His most effective ad in the primary was undoubtedly the one using Specter’s own words against him (“…enable me to be re-elected.”). That seems to have been a pretty good strategy.

  10. David Diano

    Oct 21st, 2010

    Brent-
    While I agree that Toomey is far too beholden to corporations avoiding their fair share, the quote is taken a bit out of context.

    Toomey’s point was that since the employees are paying taxes and shareholder dividends are taxed, that the corporations are already being taxed. So, he was claiming the current taxes are like a double-dip. However, he also mitigated his statement with a dose a reality by acknowledging that corporations should pay some taxes, but at a lower rate.

    So while I am certainly against the kind of tax policies Toomey would like to see for his rich corporate pals, Toomey’s quote should be discussed in its full context.

  11. David Diano

    Oct 22nd, 2010

    Bill-
    Third Muhlenberg poll, still 43% – 43% tie.
    Onorato 40% to Corbett 49%

  12. Larry

    Oct 22nd, 2010

    Everyone’s quotes are taken out of context, David, it’s called politics. You can’t govern if you don’t win so you have to do whatever it takes to win. Both sides do it. It’s called politics and it’s the dirtiest game in the world.

  13. David Diano

    Oct 22nd, 2010

    Larry-
    On that we agree. I’m a math guy and it drives me crazy when they claim so-and-so voted against some bill 100 times and it turns out to be mostly procedural motions regarding amendments, bringing in on the calendar, committee votes, etc.

  14. David Diano

    Oct 23rd, 2010

    Update, Muhlenberg poll went to Toomey +3.

    To recap, in order
    10/16 to 10/19 Sestak +3
    10/17 to 10/20 tie
    10/18 to 10/21 tie
    10/19 to 10/22 Toomey +3

  15. BrotherSisterLove

    Oct 23rd, 2010

    Corbett WINS! Philly HATES RAT Boy and he has a payback coming his way. Check his demoralized staff out at 20th & Chestnut Street HQ. They know…AND they are taking Rat Boy’s Money, which is a good thing.

    Corbet wins and BURIES E$stey that little fuck face thief and his pig friends at Ballard Spahr. Hopefully, they will close down Cocklin’s Junk Barn in Phillipsburg, where that fagot sells ALL JUNK ALL THE TIME 24/7/365 to unsuspecting tourists going through PA”s version of West Virgina. Great place to get some from yer sister… heck they’ll even marry ya at Cocklins’ Junk Barn

  16. David Diano

    Oct 23rd, 2010

    IncestLover-
    It’s an uphill battle for any non-Philly candidate to do well in Philly, and it’s a bad year for Dems. But there’s no reason to cheer for an empty suit like Corbett who likes to abuse his office with selective prosecutions.

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